Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2025
- 6. The Credit Structure Of The United States - June 24, 2025
- 5. Will The Senate Crash The Stock Market? - June 3, 2025
- 4. Trump’s Tariffs May Still Pop History’s Greatest Credit Bubble - May 13, 2025
- 3. The Dollar Crisis 2025 - April 29, 2025
- 2. Chinese Retaliation May Crush Stocks - April 10, 2025
- 1. Dollar Devaluation Fears To Drive Stock Market Crash - April 7, 2025
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2025
- 6. The Blueprint To Trump’s Tariff Strategy - March 26, 2025
- 5. “A Period of Transition” Into A Great Depression? - March 11, 2025
- 4. Audit The Fed? Here’s A Better Idea - February 27, 2025
- 3. The Evolution of Money Transformed The World - February 7, 2025
- 2. Is The Everything Bubble About To Pop? - January 23, 2025
- 1. The Debt Ceiling Crisis: Bust or Boom Ahead? - January 2, 2025
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2024
- 6. America’s Wealth Miracle Is On Shaky Ground - December 26, 2024
- 5. Will Trump End The Fed? - December 3, 2024
- 4. Learn How The Fed Creates Money from The Fed’s H.4.1 Report - November 13, 2024
- 3. Why Bond Yields Are Rising - October 30, 2024
- 2. Economic Imbalances: A Warning for Investors - October 24, 2024
- 1. The Existential Threat of a Debt Deflation Depression - October 8, 2024
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2024
- 6. Do You Know How The Fed Cuts Interest Rates? - September 24, 2024
- 5. Why The Fed Will Cut Interest Rates Next Week - September 12, 2024
- 4. Balancing on the Edge: Critical Factors Impacting Markets in 2024 - August 22, 2024
- 3. Credit Creation Drives The Economy Now - August 8, 2024
- 2. Government Debt Since 1914 - July 25, 2024
- 1. Money Creation Since 1914 - July 11, 2024
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2024
- 7. Wealth Bonanza: Risks and Opportunities - June 26, 2024
- 6. From Balanced Trade To Globalization - May 30, 2024
- 5. From Capitalism To Creditism - May 30, 2024
- 4. Introducing Creditism 101 - May 30, 2024
- 3. Slowing Income Suggests Economic Weakness Ahead - May 15, 2024
- 2. Weak Credit Growth May Force The Fed To Cut Rates - April 26, 2024
- 1. Who Will Suffer Most When Chinese Growth Ends - April 15, 2024
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2024
- 6. Is China Turning Japanese? - March 28, 2024
- 5. China: Coming Off The Rails - March 15, 2024
- 4. How Can The US Government Finance $22 Trillion Of New Debt? - February 28, 2024
- 3. Large Budget Deficits Won’t Push Up Interest Rates - February 11, 2024
- 2. Tesla: Real World AI - January 30, 2024
- 1. Microsoft’s AI Empire - January 15, 2024
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2023
- 6. Recession In 2024? - December 29, 2023
- 5. Apple: On-Device AI - December 14, 2023
- 4. Bears Beware: Rate Cuts Ahead - November 27, 2023
- 3. Amazon: King Of The Cloud - November 15, 2023
- 2. (Mis)Leading Economic Indicators - October 28, 2023
- 1. Meta: Bringing AI To The Masses - October 14, 2023
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2023
- 6. Credit Trends Suggest A Recession Ahead - September 28, 2023
- 5. Alphabet - September 14, 2023
- 4.a Bard Explains Nvidia’s Processors: Bonus Video - September 2, 2023
- 4. Nvidia - September 1, 2023
- 3. Investors Should Beware Money Destruction - August 15, 2023
- 2. Global Liquidity Is Tightening: Expect Trouble - August 1, 2023
- 1. Liquidity’s Tightening. Watch Out! - July 12, 2023
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2023
- 6. Higher For Longer Interest Rates May Rattle Markets - June 29, 2023
- 5. The Indispensable Dollar Standard Will Not Be Displaced - June 14, 2023
- 4. Lending Slowdown Suggests Rate Hike Pause - May 26, 2023
- 3. Debt Ceiling Austerity: A Recipe for Stagnation and National Shame - May 9, 2023
- 2. The Uncertain Outlook For Asset Prices - April 27, 2023
- 1. Unchartered Territory - April 14, 2023
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2023
- 7. Banking Crisis, Recession May Drive Stocks Higher - March 27, 2023
- 6. Systemic Banking Crisis: 2023 - March 15, 2023
- 5. Higher Interest Rates Will Destroy Wealth - March 10, 2023
- 4. My Speech Before Members Of Congress - March 2, 2023
- 3. Inflation Is Down, But The Fed’s Not Finished - February 3, 2023
- 2. Do Fed, ECB and BOJ Assets Drive The S&P 500? - January 24, 2023
- 1. Bank Of Japan Doubles Bond Yield Cap - January 6, 2023
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2022
- 5. More Wealth Destruction Ahead: Part Two - December 19, 2022
- 4. More Wealth Destruction Ahead, Part One - December 2, 2022
- 3. The Fed May Lose $50 Billion in 2023 - November 15, 2022
- 2. China Downgraded - October 29, 2022
- 1. Creditism In Crisis? - October 16, 2022
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2022
- 7. Watch Out: Something Is Going To Break! - September 28, 2022
- 6. 2008 vs. 2020 Part Three: Monetary Stimulus - September 21, 2022
- 5. 2008 vs. 2020 Part Two: Fiscal Stimulus - September 7, 2022
- 4. 2008 vs. 2020: Crisis, Response, Recovery - August 26, 2022
- 3. The Chips and Science Act - August 9, 2022
- 2. Credit Creation, Rate Hikes and Recession Risks - July 31, 2022
- 1. Dollar Soars, Commodities Crash - July 15, 2022
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2022
- 6. Prepare For A Very Hard Landing - June 29, 2022
- 5. More Pain Ahead - June 18, 2022
- 4. Gold: If Not Now, When? - June 1, 2022
- 3. The End Of The Fed Put - May 14, 2022
- 2. A Synopsis Of The Money Revolution - April 30, 2022
- 1. Stocks, Property and The Economy May Crash This Year - April 15, 2022
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2022
- 6. Wealth and Debt in 2021 - March 31, 2022
- 5. Fear The Fed - March 13, 2022
- 4. Congress Passes Major R&D Investment Acts - February 26, 2022
- 3. What The Fed Can’t Admit - February 7, 2022
- 2. Aggressive Fed Tightening May Sink Markets - January 20, 2022
- 1. Still Standing - January 10, 2022
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2021
- 6. Risks Are High And Rising - December 20, 2021
- 5. Very Bad Things May Happen Due To The Fed’s Hawkish Pivot - December 6, 2021
- 4. Creditism In China - November 29, 2021
- 3. Lessons From China’s Last Economic Crisis - November 15, 2021
- 2. Inflation Slowed Sharply in Q3 - November 1, 2021
- 1. Stormy Weather Ahead - October 15, 2021
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2021
- 7. The Liquidity Tsunami Is About To End Abruptly - September 25, 2021
- 6. Slowing Inflation Won’t Stop Fed Tapering - September 18, 2021
- 5. The Fed Has A Big Problem - September 4, 2021
- 4. The Fed Is More Profitable Than Apple - August 20, 2021
- 3. Liquidity Tsunami Update - August 5, 2021
- 2. Lessons From Comparing The Four Largest Central Banks - July 23, 2021
- 1. Credit, Economic Growth and Inflation To Slow - July 9, 2021
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2021
- 8. Peak Growth = Peak Inflation? - June 24, 2021
- 7. The Fed Is Preventing Negative Interest Rates Using Reverse Repos - June 11, 2021
- 6. When The Fed Tapers QE, Will Asset Prices Crash? - May 28, 2021
- 5. Will Gold Crash Again? - May 15, 2021
- 4. Will The Liquidity Tsunami Continue To Drive Asset Prices Higher? - April 29, 2021
- 3. Speech: How Capitalism Died and Where That Leaves Us - April 23, 2021
- 2. How To Get The Most From Macro Watch - April 20, 2021
- 1. Debt, Credit and Wealth Soared In 2020 - April 10, 2021
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2021
- 7. Surging Money Supply Growth Won’t Cause Inflation - March 26, 2021
- 6. Liquidity Tsunami May Drive Asset Prices Much Higher - March 6, 2021
- 5. Will Bond Yields Spike and Crush The Markets? - February 28, 2021
- 4. Inflation Won’t Force The Fed To Tighten In 2021 - February 20, 2021
- 3. What’s Driving Tech Stocks? - February 7, 2021
- 2. Stimulus, Inflation, Stocks and Gold: What’s Ahead? - January 16, 2021
- 1. Credit: A Year Like No Other - January 2, 2021
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2020
- 7. Big Stimulus Rally Ahead For Stocks and Gold? - December 22, 2020
- 6. Why China’s Winning - December 17, 2020
- 5. What The US Must Learn From Japan - November 27, 2020
- 4. The Euro vs. The Dollar - November 23, 2020
- 3. Stimulus and Your Wealth - October 30, 2020
- 2. Bank Reserves Are Irrelevant. QE Works! - October 16, 2020
- 1. Dire Consequences Without New Stimulus - October 3, 2020
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2020
- 6. The Velocity Of Money Is Irrelevant - September 26, 2020
- 5. Trillions At Stake In Upcoming FOMC - September 11, 2020
- 4. The Biden Plan For R&D Investment - August 22, 2020
- 3. Melt Up? - August 9, 2020
- 2. Our Future Prosperity Depends On Government Debt - July 27, 2020
- 1. Will The Dollar Collapse? - July 11, 2020
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2020
- 6. Yield Curve Control - June 27, 2020
- 5. Stocks: Boom or Bust? - June 13, 2020
- 1. Speech: How The Economy And The Financial Markets Work In The Post-Bretton Woods Era - June 6, 2020
- 4. Gold Is Not A Sure Bet - May 30, 2020
- 3. When Creditism Met Covid-19 - May 16, 2020
- 2. US Banks On Life Support - April 29, 2020
- 1. 28 Days (and $1.8 trillion) Later - April 12, 2020
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2020
- 8. Life During Wartime Part Two - March 27, 2020
- 7. Life During Wartime - March 25, 2020
- 6. Recession or Depression? - March 15, 2020
- 5. Thoughts On The Coronavirus - March 1, 2020
- 4. America’s National Emergency Part 3 - February 18, 2020
- 3. America’s National Emergency: Part 2 - February 4, 2020
- 2. America’s National Emergency: Part One - January 21, 2020
- 1. Corporate Sector Concerns - January 7, 2020
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2019
- 6. Household Wealth and Fed Policy - December 19, 2019
- 5. The Repo Crisis and The Fed: Part Four - November 22, 2019
- 4. The Repo Crisis and The Fed: Part 3 - November 20, 2019
- 3. The Repo Crisis and The Fed: Part 2 - November 15, 2019
- 2. The Repo Crisis and The Fed - November 13, 2019
- 1. QE 4 Has Begun - October 12, 2019
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2019
- 6. Expect More Rate Cuts - September 29, 2019
- 5. Dalio vs. Mauldin: The Great Debate Part 3 - September 6, 2019
- 4. Ray Dalio vs. John Mauldin: The Great Debate Part 2 - August 22, 2019
- 3. How The US Can Win The Currency War - August 13, 2019
- 2. Ray Dalio vs. John Mauldin: The Great Debate - August 3, 2019
- 1. America Can Invest or Surrender To China - July 11, 2019
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2019
- 6. The Fed Is A Hostage Of The S&P 500 - June 24, 2019
- 5. Yield Crash - June 5, 2019
- 4. What Are Bank Reserves - May 23, 2019
- 3. Seigniorage - May 9, 2019
- 2. Looser Monetary Policy Will Be Required - April 25, 2019
- 1. Who Funded The Debt in 2018? - April 11, 2019
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2019
- 6. Credit Growth, Asset Prices and The Fed - March 28, 2019
- 5. Alphabet’s Other Bets - March 14, 2019
- 4. The Tech Giants: Part Two - February 28, 2019
- 3. The Tech Giants: Part One - February 19, 2019
- 2. The Fed’s Historic Policy Shift - February 3, 2019
- 1. R&D: The Future Depends On It - January 15, 2019
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2018
- 6. The Yield Curve Is Sending You A Warning - December 21, 2018
- 5. Who Will Be Hurt By The US-China Trade War? - December 13, 2018
- 4. Investing In America - November 29, 2018
- 3. The Capital Structure Of The United States - November 7, 2018
- 2. A Concise History Of Creditism - October 18, 2018
- 1. Credit Update: Government Debt Spikes - October 4, 2018
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2018
- 6. All The Money In The World - September 20, 2018
- 5. Chinese Monetary Policy Part 2: Crisis Management - August 30, 2018
- 4. Chinese Monetary Policy Part 1: Transforming The World - August 17, 2018
- 3. US-China Trade War: If China Fights Back - August 1, 2018
- 2. US-China Trade War: If China Capitulates - July 24, 2018
- 1. US-China Trade War: On The Brink - July 21, 2018
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2018
- 6. QE In Europe Is Ending - June 28, 2018
- 5. The BOJ Goes Ballistic - June 2, 2018
- 4. The BOJ’s Radical Experiment - June 2, 2018
- 3. What You Need To Know About The US Government’s Budget Deficits & Debt - May 17, 2018
- 2. Who Will Buy The Debt? - May 3, 2018
- 1. Weak Credit Growth Leaves The Economy Vulnerable - April 18, 2018
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2018
- 6. Inflation Over The Last 100 Years - March 28, 2018
- 5. The Money Revolution - March 14, 2018
- 4. QT: The Pain Is Just Beginning - March 1, 2018
- 3. The Government-Induced Liquidity Crisis Could Crush The Markets - February 12, 2018
- 2. Rate Hikes, Quantitative Tightening and Their Consequences - January 31, 2018
- 1. The History Of US Monetary Policy - January 14, 2018
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2017
- 7. Speech: Understanding Potential Threats To Trade and Economic Stability In Asia - December 29, 2017
- 6. Inflation Would Crush The Global Economy - December 13, 2017
- 5. The Stock Market: Worry Now, Sell Later? - November 30, 2017
- 4. The New Growth Driver - November 16, 2017
- 3. Japan’s Extraordinary Experiment - November 2, 2017
- 2. China’s Economy 2017 - October 19, 2017
- 1. China’s Credit Tsunami May Capsize The World - October 4, 2017
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2017
- 6. Speech For The CFA Institute Brazil - September 21, 2017
- 5. Frequently Asked Questions - September 12, 2017
- 4. The Four Great Threats - August 28, 2017
- 3. Who’s To Blame For The Global Economic Crisis? - August 10, 2017
- 2. Bubble or Recession: The Fed Must Choose - July 25, 2017
- 1. Global Liquidity Shock - July 10, 2017
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2017
- 6. Monetary Revolution Part 2 - June 27, 2017
- 5. Monetary Revolution - June 13, 2017
- 4. Quantitative Tightening - May 25, 2017
- 3. Can Global Economic Growth Continue? - May 9, 2017
- 2. Liquidity Gauge Update: Crowding Out - April 18, 2017
- 1. The Credit Structure Of The United States And Its Vulnerabilities - April 10, 2017
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2017
- 6. Creditism In Crisis - March 28, 2017
- 5. The Outlook For The Dollar - March 10, 2017
- 4. The Factors Driving And Constraining US Economic Growth - March 2, 2017
- 3. My Message To Some Of The World’s Largest Investment Managers - February 12, 2017
- 2. The Question I Asked Alan Greenspan Last Week - January 26, 2017
- 1. Trump’s Trade Policies: Good Intentions, Devastating Consequences - January 3, 2017
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2016
- 6. A Recipe For Disaster - December 12, 2016
- 5. Voodoo Economics? Voodoo Two Won’t Do - November 30, 2016
- 4. President Trump, You Can Make America’s Economy Great Again. Here’s How - November 15, 2016
- 3. Derivatives Reform: Real or Razzmatazz, Part 2 - October 30, 2016
- 2. Derivatives Reform: Real or Razzmatazz? - October 28, 2016
- 1. Credit Update: Weak and Vulnerable - October 6, 2016
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2016
- 6. The Outlook For Interest Rates: Trumpthing Could Go Terribly Wrong - September 22, 2016
- 5. The Prospects For Asset Prices: 2017 - September 8, 2016
- 4. Quantitative Easing Is Now Cancelling Half A Trillion Dollars of Government Debt Per Quarter - August 22, 2016
- 3. Libertarian Murray Rothbard Was Dangerously Wrong - August 6, 2016
- 2. The World Is $300 Trillion In Debt - July 17, 2016
- 1. Chimerica - June 30, 2016
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2016
- 7. China’s Economic Crisis, Part 4: One World Is Not Enough - June 13, 2016
- 6. China’s Economic Crisis: Part 3 - May 31, 2016
- 5. China’s Economic Crisis: Part 2 - May 14, 2016
- 4. China’s Economic Crisis: Part 1 - May 1, 2016
- 3. Credit Update: Our Economic And Political Problems Look Set To Multiply - April 18, 2016
- 2. ECB Policy: Everything You Need To Know (Part Two) - April 1, 2016
- 1. ECB Policy: Everything You Need To Know (Part One) - April 1, 2016
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2016
- 6. Are The Central Banks Out Of Ammunition? - March 11, 2016
- 5. Negative Interest Rates: How Did This Happen? - February 26, 2016
- 4. Death Spiral? Make That Plural - February 13, 2016
- 3. Liquidity Gauge Update - February 3, 2016
- 2. How My Career Shaped My Views On The Global Economy - January 24, 2016
- 1. Credit Growth: Below The Recession Threshold - December 31, 2015
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2015
- 6. Rate Hike - December 19, 2015
- 5. American Meltdown: The Crisis Of 2008 - December 6, 2015
- 4. Asia & The Slump In World Trade - November 20, 2015
- 3. China’s Next Move - October 30, 2015
- 2. The Dollar Standard: No Replacement In Sight - October 16, 2015
- 1. Weak Credit Growth Means Recession Ahead - October 2, 2015
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2015
- 7. The Five Reasons The Fed Couldn’t (And Still Can’t) Hike Interest Rates - September 20, 2015
- 6. Standard Chartered’s Results Point To Rapid Global Economic Deterioration - September 4, 2015
- 5. The Prospects For Asset Prices: A Very Dangerous Moment - August 23, 2015
- 4. Monetary & Fiscal Austerity Explain The New Global Recession - August 12, 2015
- 3. Global Recession - July 24, 2015
- 2. Unsustainable Wealth - July 10, 2015
- 1. Who’s Going To Lend The Money To Drive Economic Growth? - July 2, 2015
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2015
- 5. How The Government Came To Own 60% Of All US Home Mortgages - June 9, 2015
- 4. The Banks - May 27, 2015
- 3. Yellen’s (Triffin) Dilemma - May 8, 2015
- 2. Liquidity Gauge Update - April 25, 2015
- 1. Has The Next Recession Begun? - April 7, 2015
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2015
- 6. Negative Interest Rates - March 20, 2015
- 5. How The Fed Intends To Hike Interest Rates - March 3, 2015
- 4. QE Is Debt Cancellation - February 17, 2015
- 3. ECB QE - February 4, 2015
- 2. Credit Growth: Still Too Weak - January 17, 2015
- 1. Finance Capital - January 3, 2015
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2014
- 7. How Capital Grows - December 27, 2014
- 6. Capital - December 6, 2014
- 5. Japan: Very Serious Challenges - November 24, 2014
- 4. FX Reserves, The Dollar Crisis & The Outlook For Global Liquidity - November 10, 2014
- 3. Analyzing The Five Largest Central Banks - October 28, 2014
- 2. The Outlook For Global Liquidity Points To Deflation Ahead - October 12, 2014
- 1. The Prospects For Asset Prices - October 2, 2014
Macro Watch: Third Quarter 2014
- 5. How Strong Is The US Economic Recovery? - September 9, 2014
- 0. Speech: How Capitalism Died & Where That Leaves Us - August 1, 2014
- 3. The Fed’s Balance Sheet - July 21, 2014
- 2. The Fed’s New Magic Trick - July 7, 2014
- 1. Credit: How Much Does It Take? - July 2, 2014
- 4. The Household Sector Balance Sheet Is Pointing To Trouble - August 6, 2014
Macro Watch: Second Quarter 2014
- 1. Introduction - March 28, 2014
- 1. Treacherous Markets Ahead - March 28, 2014
- 2. The Fed & Its Challenges - March 28, 2014
- 3. Austrian Economics: Right & Wrong - March 28, 2014
- 4. What Drives Currencies? - March 28, 2014
- 5. China’s Economic Crisis - March 28, 2014
- 6. Credit Growth Update - March 28, 2014
- 7. Economic Update - March 28, 2014
Macro Watch: First Quarter 2014
- 1. Introduction - January 5, 2014
- 2. Economic Overview - January 5, 2014
- 3. Credit - January 5, 2014
- 4. The Fed & Liquidity - January 5, 2014
- 5. Liquidity Conditions in 2014 and Prospects For Asset Prices - January 5, 2014
- 6. Global Deflation? - January 5, 2014
Macro Watch: Fourth Quarter 2013
- 1. Economic Overview - September 10, 2013
- 2. Credit - September 10, 2013
- 3. Liquidity Part One: Foreign Generated Liquidity - September 10, 2013
- 4. Liquidity Part Two: Quantitative Easing - September 10, 2013
- 5. Prospects For Asset Prices - September 10, 2013
Course 1: Capitalism In Crisis, The Global Economic Crisis Explained
- 1. Introduction - September 10, 2013
- 2. Restoring Stability After The Great Depression - September 10, 2013
- 3. 1960s America: Too Much, Too Soon - September 10, 2013
- 4. The End Of Sound Money - September 10, 2013
- 5. The Consequences Of Unbalanced Trade - September 10, 2013
- 6. Foreign Exchange Reserves - September 10, 2013
- 7. The Imbalance Of Payments & The US Economic Bubble - September 10, 2013
- 8. Flaws In The Dollar Standard - September 10, 2013
- 9. How Credit Slipped Its Leash - September 10, 2013
- 10. Creditopia - September 10, 2013
- 11. Financial Sector Deregulation - September 10, 2013
- 12. The Quantity Theory Of Credit - September 10, 2013
- 13. The Policy Response: Perpetuating The Boom - September 10, 2013
- 14. Inflation – Deflation - September 10, 2013
- 15. Concluding Remarks - September 10, 2013
Course 2: How The Economy Really Works
- 1. Introduction: What’s Changed? - September 10, 2013
- 2. Don’t Call It Capitalism - September 10, 2013
- 3. Who’s In Charge? - September 10, 2013
- 4. GDP 101 - September 10, 2013
- 5. Fiscal Policy & Budget Deficits Part 1 - September 10, 2013
- 6. Fiscal Policy & Budget Deficits Part 2 - September 10, 2013
- 7. Interest Rates, Inflation and Globalization - September 10, 2013
- 8. Monetary Policy & Net Worth - September 10, 2013
- 9. Trade Deficits & Their Impact - September 10, 2013
- 10. Credit Growth Drives Economic Growth - September 10, 2013
- 11. Conclusion - September 10, 2013