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Richard Duncan

Recent Posts by Richard Duncan

How The Fed Intends To Hike Interest Rates

The consensus view is that the Federal Reserve will begin increasing interest rates later this year. I believe the consensus view is wrong. The Fed

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QE Is Debt Cancellation

When a central bank prints money and buys a government bond, it is the same thing as cancelling that bond (so long as the central

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Why ECB QE Will Drive European Stock Markets Higher

The European Central Bank has announced a massive Quantitative Easing program that is very likely to push European stock prices significantly higher. The new Macro

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Recession Alert: Weak Credit Growth Points To US Recession Ahead

The key to understanding the economy and the financial markets in the 21st Century is this: Credit growth drives economic growth. From 1952 to 2008,

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If Interest Rates Rise, Wealth Will Fall

There is a broad consensus among financial market participants that interest rates will rise in 2015. If they do, the stock market and the economy

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