Prepare For A Very Hard Landing
Posted June 29, 2022
For decades, the US economy has been driven by rapid Credit Growth and Asset Price Inflation. Since the Crisis of 2008, in particular, aggressive fiscal stimulus, ultra-low
Tag Archives: Macroeconomics
The End Of The Fed Put
Posted May 14, 2022
For a very long time now, every time the stock market has fallen significantly, the Fed has intervened, in one way or the other, to push it back
When Macro Watch Turned Bearish
Posted May 9, 2022
One of the recurring themes of Macro Watch is that “Liquidity Drives Asset Prices”. For instance, on March 6, 2021, Macro Watch published a video
Read The Introduction to The Money Revolution
Posted May 1, 2022
Yesterday’s blog post generated so many books sales that The Money Revolution is now ranked #1 Best Seller in International Relations on Amazon today – and #2
A Synopsis Of The Money Revolution
Posted April 30, 2022
Today’s Macro Watch video provides a synopsis of my new book, The Money Revolution: How To Finance The Next American Century. It explains why I wrote
Stocks, Property and The Economy May Crash This Year
Posted April 15, 2022
Last week, the US Yield Curve inverted, meaning that the Yield on 2-Year government bonds rose above the Yield on 10-Year government bonds. When the
Announcing My New Book: The Money Revolution
Posted April 8, 2022
A Money Revolution has occurred since Dollars ceased to be backed by Gold five decades ago. That Revolution has radically altered the way our economic system
Wealth and Debt in 2021
Posted March 31, 2022
It is very important to monitor and forecast Credit Growth because in the 21st Century: Credit Growth Drives Economic Growth. If Credit grows by less
Aggressive Fed Tightening May Sink Markets
Posted January 20, 2022
The Fed is accelerating its pace of Monetary Policy tightening much more aggressively than financial markets had anticipated. Over the last few months, we have learned that
Still Standing
Posted January 10, 2022
When the Covid pandemic began to crush the US economy in March 2020, Macro Watch published a series of videos on the subject, including one
Great New Interview: Highly Recommended
Posted December 4, 2021
A few days ago I was interviewed by Tom Bodrovics for Palisades Gold Radio. I believe this was one of the best interviews in a
Creditism In China
Posted November 29, 2021
The latest Macro Watch video is the second in a series focusing on the potential consequences of the crisis now unfolding in China’s all-important property
Lessons From China’s Last Economic Crisis
Posted November 15, 2021
During 2015, China’s economy experienced a serious downturn that caused a global recession. Credit growth in China had been running out of control, Investment far exceeded Consumption
How Threatened Is China’s Economy?
Posted November 6, 2021
China’s economy is facing grave challenges. Given the rising tensions with the West, the outlook for continued export-led growth appears dim. At home, China’s giant property bubble
Inflation Slowed Sharply in Q3
Posted November 2, 2021
Newspaper headlines give the impression that Inflation in the United States is very high and running totally out of control. But those headlines are misleading.
Interview: Inflation, Liquidity, China Evergrande
Posted October 30, 2021
I recently had a very good conversation with Buck Joffrey for the Wealth Formula Podcast. I highly recommend you listen to it. Topics include: The
Stormy Weather Ahead
Posted October 15, 2021
Credit growth is slowing rapidly in the United States. That is alarming because in the Twenty-first Century, Credit Growth Drives Economy Growth. Total Credit Growth (adjusted
The Fed Has A Big Problem
Posted September 4, 2021
On Friday, the jobs report showed that only 235,000 new jobs were created in the United States during August. That was well below expectations of 728,000 new jobs. Up until
The Fed Is Preventing Negative Interest Rates Using Reverse Repos
Posted June 11, 2021
Reverse Repurchase Agreements on the Fed’s balance sheet have surged from $0 in mid-March to $535 billion on June 10th. Many people have begun to
When The Fed Tapers QE, Will Asset Prices Crash?
Posted May 28, 2021
The Fed is now signaling that it will soon begin to discuss when to Taper Quantitative Easing. This is an important policy development that could