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Tag Archives: Macroeconomics

Prepare For A Very Hard Landing

For decades, the US economy has been driven by rapid Credit Growth and Asset Price Inflation.  Since the Crisis of 2008, in particular, aggressive fiscal stimulus, ultra-low

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The End Of The Fed Put

For a very long time now, every time the stock market has fallen significantly, the Fed has intervened, in one way or the other, to push it back

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Wealth and Debt in 2021

It is very important to monitor and forecast Credit Growth because in the 21st Century: Credit Growth Drives Economic Growth. If Credit grows by less

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Still Standing

When the Covid pandemic began to crush the US economy in March 2020, Macro Watch published a series of videos on the subject, including one

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Creditism In China

The latest Macro Watch video is the second in a series focusing on the potential consequences of the crisis now unfolding in China’s all-important property

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How Threatened Is China’s Economy?

China’s economy is facing grave challenges.  Given the rising tensions with the West, the outlook for continued export-led growth appears dim.  At home, China’s giant property bubble

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Stormy Weather Ahead

Credit growth is slowing rapidly in the United States.  That is alarming because in the Twenty-first Century, Credit Growth Drives Economy Growth.   Total Credit Growth (adjusted

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The Fed Has A Big Problem

On Friday, the jobs report showed that only 235,000 new jobs were created in the United States during August. That was well below expectations of 728,000 new jobs. Up until

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