Blog

August 9, 2020

Melt Up? What If The Fed Creates $2 Trillion More By Year End

The Fed is likely to create significantly more money during the rest of this year than it has led the market to expect.  If it does, that could drive asset prices considerably higher.  The new Macro Watch video explains why a new surge in money creation by the Fed should be expected and what that could…
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July 27, 2020

Future Prosperity Depends On Government Debt

The most important thing to know about macroeconomics in the 21st Century is that Credit Growth Drives Economic Growth. In the United States, when Total Credit grows by less than 2% (adjusted for inflation), the country goes into recession.  That happened nine times between 1952 and 2009.  Therefore, it is very important to monitor and forecast Credit…
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July 24, 2020

Interview: Covid vs. Creditism

I was recently interviewed by Robert Helms and Russell Gray for The Real Estate Guys Podcast.  Please find the link to the interview below. Topics include: The outlook for the US economy, financial markets and interest rates in light of the Coronavirus. The effectiveness of the economic policy response to this crisis thus far. Why the…
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July 11, 2020

Will The Dollar Collapse?

A few years ago, Macro Watch published a video called The Dollar Standard: No Replacement In Sight.  It explains how the Dollar became the principal international reserve currency and discusses why the Dollar Standard is not going to end any time soon.  Here is the direct link to that video.  No password or Macro Watch subscription is required.  Just click…
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Interview: Surviving The Covid-19 Crisis
July 2, 2020

Interview: Surviving The Covid Crisis

I had a really good conversation with Patrick Donohoe for the Wealth Standard podcast recently.  I enjoyed this interview.  Its length made it possible to go into detail on many important topics.  I hope you will listen to it now. Topics include: Why it is important for investors to understand the tools the government uses to manage the…
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Yield Curve Control
June 27, 2020

Yield Curve Control Coming Soon

The Fed is likely to adopt Yield Curve Control as its primary policy tool to manage the level of interest rates in the United States.  The latest Macro Watch video explains what Yield Curve Control is and how it differs from Quantitative Easing. It also discusses the impact that Yield Curve Control could have on the…
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June 17, 2020

Interview: “Will There Be A New Depression?” with Robert Kiyosaki

Listen as host Robert Kiyosaki and guest Richard Duncan, author of the international bestseller, “The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures,” discuss how the current financial crisis started long before the coronavirus spread throughout the world and what you can do about it. The Government is managing the economy through government debt and the Fed printing money….
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June 13, 2020

Stocks: Boom or Bust?

It is difficult to imagine a worse economic environment.    The US economy is expected to contract by between one third and one half during the second quarter.  For the full year, the Fed expects the economy to shrink by 6.5%.  The unemployment rate is 13.3%.  Corporate earnings are expected to be abysmal.   And yet, up until a few…
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May 30, 2020

Gold Is Not A Sure Bet

The new Macro Watch video discusses how and why the price of Gold has moved up and down since 1970; and it warns that an investment in Gold is not a sure bet. Gold is a hedge against inflation.  The price of Gold goes up when people fear there will be significantly higher rates of inflation.  But,…
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May 16, 2020

When Creditism Met Covid-19

Our economic system, Creditism, was fragile and on government life support before the Coronavirus hit the United States.  Now it is in intensive care. The new Macro Watch video describes the government policies that kept Creditism from collapse between the Crisis of 2008 and the end of 2019. It then looks ahead to consider what it…
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May 3, 2020

Interview: Lessons From The Covid-19 Crisis

I have done a lot of podcast interviews recently discussing the dire economic consequences brought about by the Coronavirus and what must be done to mitigate them.   I believe this is one of the very best.   I cannot recall another interview that captures my economic philosophy better than this one does in such a short space…
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April 29, 2020

US Banks On Life Support

The new Macro Watch video shows that, without the unprecedented support that the government and the Fed are providing to the economy during the Coronavirus crisis, it is likely that all the major banks in the United States would go bankrupt. It is easy to understand why.  Banks are highly leveraged.  The loans they have extended and…
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April 24, 2020

Interview: Libertarianism, R. I. P.

I was recently interviewed by Hunter Thompson for a Cash Flow Connections podcast.  We discussed the economic, political and geopolitical consequences of the Coronavirus. This is an interview you won’t want to miss, even if you have listened to all of the other interviews I have posted lately.   In this conversation, Hunter and I go off…
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April 16, 2020

Interview: The Coronavirus Economy

I had a really great conversation with my friend Andy Tanner for The Cashflow Academy recently. I highly recommend listening to this interview. It covers so much of what is important now regarding the outlook for the economy, the correct economic policy response to the Coronavirus crisis, the nature and fragility of our 21st Century…
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April 12, 2020

28 Days (and $1.8 trillion) Later

During the last four weeks, the Fed has prevented the complete collapse of the US economy by creating $1.8 trillion.  It has used that new money to extend $1.8 trillion of Federal Reserve Credit, primarily by acquiring Treasury bonds. This has caused the Fed’s total assets to expand by 41% in just 28 days. This data…
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March 27, 2020

Life During Wartime Part Two

The Senate passed a $2 trillion stimulus bill this week.   That is not going to be enough. The new Macro Watch video, uploaded today, considers two scenarios of how much fiscal stimulus will be required this year to prevent the economy from collapsing: Scenario One assumes $2.5 trillion of fiscal stimulus will be required.  This is…
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March 25, 2020

Life During Wartime

A wartime effort will be required to defeat the Coronavirus and prevent the US economy from collapsing into a Depression.  But this war is very different from any we have fought before. The new Macro Watch video contrasts the war we are fighting today with World War II.   During World War II: US government debt jumped by…
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March 19, 2020

Interview: How To Prevent A Depression

This is the most important interview I have ever given.  Listen to it now. The global economy is being crushed by the Coronavirus.  Chaos reigns in the financial markets.  In this Financial Sense interview with Cris Sheridan, I lay out what must be done to prevent the United States economy from collapsing into a Depression. …
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March 15, 2020

Recession or Depression?

The United States economy will almost certainly fall into Recession this year because of the Coronavirus.  The outcome, however, could be very much worse than that.  Whether the US economy spirals into a Depression or merely a Recession will be determined by the size and the speed of the fiscal and monetary policy response to the…
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