Looking for something in particular?

Richard Duncan

Recent Posts by Richard Duncan

Negative Interest Rates: How Did This Happen?

Until recently, negative interest rates were considered inconceivable. Now, however, $7 trillion worth of bonds are trading at negative yields. That means the owners of

Continue Reading

Death Spiral? Make That Plural

Last week Citi made headlines by publishing a report claiming the global economy is trapped in a “Death Spiral”. The timing of the report was

Continue Reading

Negative Liquidity Will Drive Stocks Lower

Liquidity in the United States turned negative in the fourth quarter of 2015. I believe this played an important role in the severe stock market

Continue Reading

How My Career Shaped My Views On The Global Economy

In the new Macro Watch video uploaded today, I describe how my 30-year career in the investment industry has shaped my views on what drives

Continue Reading

Weak Credit Growth Signals Recession Ahead

Between 1952 and 2008, every time US credit growth (adjusted for inflation) fell below 2%, the United States went into recession. During that period, the

Continue Reading

Recent Comments by Richard Duncan

Top