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What The Fed Can’t Admit

Posted February 7, 2022

The Fed is carrying out an abrupt Monetary Policy U-Turn, suddenly moving from easing to tightening Monetary Policy.  Stocks got crushed in January as a result.  Between January 3rd and

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Aggressive Fed Tightening May Sink Markets

Posted January 20, 2022

The Fed is accelerating its pace of Monetary Policy tightening much more aggressively than financial markets had anticipated. Over the last few months, we have learned that the Fed intends to: End

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Still Standing

Posted January 10, 2022

When the Covid pandemic began to crush the US economy in March 2020, Macro Watch published a series of videos on the subject, including one called “Recession or Depression?” (March

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Risks Are High And Rising

Posted December 20, 2021

The new Macro Watch video discusses the most important recent trends in credit growth and wealth creation based on the third quarter Financial Accounts of the United States. The most

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Very Bad Things May Happen Due To The FedR…

Posted December 6, 2021

In Congressional testimony last week, Fed Chairman Powell made a “Hawkish Pivot” when he suggested that the Fed was likely to accelerate the pace of Tapering and end Quantitative Easing

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Great New Interview: Highly Recommended

Posted December 4, 2021

A few days ago I was interviewed by Tom Bodrovics for Palisades Gold Radio. I believe this was one of the best interviews in a long time.  I hope you will

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Creditism In China

Posted November 29, 2021

The latest Macro Watch video is the second in a series focusing on the potential consequences of the crisis now unfolding in China’s all-important property sector. Drawing on “The Lessons From

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Lessons From China’s Last Economic Cris…

Posted November 15, 2021

During 2015, China’s economy experienced a serious downturn that caused a global recession. Credit growth in China had been running out of control, Investment far exceeded Consumption and the rest of the

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How Threatened Is China’s Economy?

Posted November 6, 2021

China’s economy is facing grave challenges.  Given the rising tensions with the West, the outlook for continued export-led growth appears dim.  At home, China’s giant property bubble has begun to deflate. During

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Inflation Slowed Sharply in Q3

Posted November 2, 2021

Newspaper headlines give the impression that Inflation in the United States is very high and running totally out of control. But those headlines are misleading. Inflation peaked in the second

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