Lessons From China’s Last Economic Cris…
During 2015, China’s economy experienced a serious downturn that caused a global recession. Credit growth in China had been running out of control, Investment far exceeded Consumption and the rest of the
How Threatened Is China’s Economy?
China’s economy is facing grave challenges. Given the rising tensions with the West, the outlook for continued export-led growth appears dim. At home, China’s giant property bubble has begun to deflate. During
Inflation Slowed Sharply in Q3
Newspaper headlines give the impression that Inflation in the United States is very high and running totally out of control. But those headlines are misleading. Inflation peaked in the second
Interview: Inflation, Liquidity, China Evergr…
I recently had a very good conversation with Buck Joffrey for the Wealth Formula Podcast. I highly recommend you listen to it. Topics include: The many reasons inflation will not
Stormy Weather Ahead
Credit growth is slowing rapidly in the United States. That is alarming because in the Twenty-first Century, Credit Growth Drives Economy Growth. Total Credit Growth (adjusted for inflation) slowed from 9.3%
Interview: Economic Crises
I recently had a very interesting conversation with Kirk Chisholm for The Money Tree Investing Podcast. This interview provides a history of economic crises in the United States from 1914
The Liquidity Tsunami Is About To End Abruptl…
On March 6th this year, Macro Watch published a video called “Liquidity Tsunami May Drive Asset Prices Much Higher”. It argued that during the months ahead Bank Reserves would surge, and
Slowing Inflation Won’t Stop Fed Taperi…
Inflation in the United States slowed sharply during August. The Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI) rose 0.1% month-on-month in August. That was down from 0.9% in April, 0.7% in May,
The Fed Has A Big Problem
On Friday, the jobs report showed that only 235,000 new jobs were created in the United States during August. That was well below expectations of 728,000 new jobs. Up until then, the Fed appeared inclined
Interview: Inflation or Deflation?
Cris Sheridan recently interviewed me for the Financial Sense Newshour. It was another good conversation. I hope you will listen to it now. We discussed: Fed tapering of Quantitative Easing is on