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Credit Growth, Asset Prices and The Fed

Posted March 28, 2019

Between 1980 and 2008, Credit Growth drove Economic Growth.  The ratio of Total Credit to GDP soared from 170% in 1980 to 370% in 2008.   Since 2008, however, Credit Growth has been

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Alphabet’s World Changing “Other …

Posted March 14, 2019

In a recent video, we looked at Alphabet, the parent company of Google, along with the five other US tech giants. There we saw that Alphabet’s most famous products and

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The Tech Giants: Part Two

Posted February 28, 2019

This video is the second in a series looking at the largest US tech giants ranked by R&D Investment.   Part One covered Amazon, Alphabet and Intel. Part Two covers Microsoft,

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The Tech Giants: Part One

Posted February 19, 2019

The new Macro Watch video is the first in a two-part series examining the six largest US tech giants, ranked according to the amount they invest in Research and Development

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Announcing A Course On Global Monetary Policy…

Posted February 12, 2019

Monetary Policy is now arguably the most powerful force driving the global economy and the world’s financial markets.   Central banks prevented a new global Great Depression following the Crisis of

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The Fed’s Historic Policy Shift

Posted February 3, 2019

The Fed’s January 30th FOMC meeting produced one of the most consequential shifts in Monetary Policy that I can recall.  Rate hikes were put on hold.  Quantitative Tightening is to be ended

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R&D: The Future Depends On It

Posted January 15, 2019

Investment in Research and Development (R&D) today will be a decisive factor in determining which companies and which countries dominate the future. The new Macro Watch video provides an overview

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Podcast: Our Once In History Opportunity

Posted January 3, 2019

The global economy may well collapse into a new Great Depression.  But if it does, it will be due to policy mistakes, not because of some preordained “laws” set down by

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The Yield Curve Is Sending You A Warning

Posted December 21, 2018

The inversion of the yield curve is considered to be one of the most accurate predictors of recessions.  It has inverted before every US recession since World War II.  It

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Who Will Be Hurt By The US-China Trade War?

Posted December 13, 2018

Tensions between the United States and China intensified last week when the CFO of one of China’s largest tech companies was arrested in Canada at the request of the United

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