Do You Know How The Fed Cuts Interest Rates?
Posted September 24, 2024
You will have heard that the Fed reduced the Federal Funds Rate by 50 basis points last week. But do you know HOW the Fed
Tag Archives: Fed
This AI-Generated Podcast Is Blowing My Mind. Listen Now.
Posted September 16, 2024
Today, I want to share with you the most amazing new AI breakthrough I’ve seen in a long time, AI-generated podcasts. A few days ago,
Balancing on the Edge: Critical Factors Impacting Markets in 2024
Posted August 22, 2024
The new Macro Watch video examines six critical factors that could have an outsized impact on the economy and the financial markets during the months
Money Creation Since 1914
Posted July 11, 2024
Congress ended the requirement that the Federal Reserve hold Gold to back the Money it created in 1968. Afterward, there were no longer any constraints on
Weak Credit Growth May Force The Fed To Cut Rates
Posted April 26, 2024
Total Credit in the United States first exceeded $1 trillion in 1964. This quarter it will blow past $100 trillion. This 100-fold increase in Credit
How Can The US Government Finance $22 Trillion Of New Debt?
Posted February 28, 2024
US Government Debt will increase by $22 trillion or by 85% over the next 10 years to $48 trillion, according to a recent report from
Bears Beware: Rate Cuts Ahead
Posted November 27, 2023
The stock market and the bond market have both rallied sharply this month on the belief that interest rates have peaked and that the Fed
Credit Trends Suggest A Recession Ahead
Posted September 28, 2023
This week, Macro Watch looks at trends in Credit Growth and Wealth Creation; and explains why those trends suggest the US economy will soon fall
Investors Should Beware Money Destruction
Posted August 15, 2023
This week Macro Watch examines the liabilities of five large central banks to explain how central banks create Money to pay for the assets they
Global Liquidity Is Tightening: Expect Trouble
Posted August 1, 2023
Global Liquidity is tightening. The new Macro Watch video demonstrates this by examining the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve, The European Central Bank, The
Liquidity’s Tightening. Watch Out!
Posted July 12, 2023
One of the main themes of Macro Watch is that Liquidity Determines The Direction Of Asset Prices. This week Macro Watch shows that Liquidity is contracting
Lending Slowdown Suggests Rate Hike Pause
Posted May 26, 2023
Fed Chairman Powell has said that the recent turmoil in the banking sector is likely to cause bank lending to slow; and that slower bank
The Uncertain Outlook For Asset Prices
Posted April 27, 2023
Home prices in the US are falling and it is very probable that they will continue to fall. The future direction of stock prices, however,
Unchartered Territory
Posted April 14, 2023
Last year, Total Credit in the United States expanded by $5.1 trillion to $93.5 trillion. Total Credit first exceeded $1 trillion in 1964. Next year it will
Interview: SVB, Technology and Politics
Posted March 21, 2023
Last week, just before I left New York, I was interviewed by Andrew Keen for his Keen On podcast. Named as one of the “100 most connected
Systemic Banking Crisis: 2023
Posted March 16, 2023
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank set off a systemic banking sector crisis in the United States late last week. It is not yet certain
Higher Interest Rates Will Destroy Wealth
Posted March 10, 2023
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks before the Senate on March 7th were very hawkish and suggest the Fed will raise the Federal Funds Rate significantly
Inflation Is Down, But The Fed’s Not Finished
Posted February 3, 2023
On February 1st, the Fed hiked the Federal Funds Rate by 25-basis points to a range between 4.5% and 4.75%. During the press conference following
Do Fed, ECB & BOJ Assets Drive The S&P 500?
Posted January 24, 2023
Changes in the Combined Total Assets of the Fed, ECB and BOJ appear correlated with movements in the S&P 500 Index. Of course, correlation does not prove causation. But
Video Ready plus BOJ Primer
Posted December 22, 2022
Earlier this week, I uploaded a presentation entitled “More Wealth Destruction Ahead: Part Two”. The video accompanying that presentation is now ready to watch. It explains