Credit Trends Suggest A Recession Ahead
Posted September 28, 2023
This week, Macro Watch looks at trends in Credit Growth and Wealth Creation; and explains why those trends suggest the US economy will soon fall
Tag Archives: Interest Rates
Lending Slowdown Suggests Rate Hike Pause
Posted May 26, 2023
Fed Chairman Powell has said that the recent turmoil in the banking sector is likely to cause bank lending to slow; and that slower bank
The Uncertain Outlook For Asset Prices
Posted April 27, 2023
Home prices in the US are falling and it is very probable that they will continue to fall. The future direction of stock prices, however,
Interview: The Credit Bubble Popped
Posted February 18, 2023
I was recently interviewed by Addison Wiggin for his podcast The Wiggin Sessions. Addison is a financial writer, publisher, filmmaker and the author or co-author
The Fed May Lose $50 Billion in 2023
Posted November 15, 2022
Last year, if the Fed had been a corporation, it would have been the most profitable corporation in the world. It earned $108 billion. Apple earned
Interview: The Perfect Storm, Part One
Posted July 23, 2022
I was recently interviewed by Marco Santarelli for the Passive Real Estate Investing Podcast. The main theme running through our conversation is the perfect storm
More Pain Ahead: Rates To Rise, Stocks To Fall
Posted June 18, 2022
The Fed hiked the Federal Funds Rate by a larger than expected 75 basis point on Wednesday to a range between 1.5% and 1.75%. Given that
Interview: Brutal Wealth Destruction
Posted May 27, 2022
Stocks and bonds have experienced a brutal selloff so far this year and the worst may still be ahead, with property prices likely to be
The End Of The Fed Put
Posted May 14, 2022
For a very long time now, every time the stock market has fallen significantly, the Fed has intervened, in one way or the other, to push it back
Robert Kiyosaki Interview: What Is The Money Revolution?
Posted April 2, 2022
I recently spoke with my friends Robert and Kim Kiyosaki about my new book, The Money Revolution, on The Rich Dad Radio Show. We discussed the book’s
FEAR THE FED
Posted March 13, 2022
Inflation is soaring. Now Russia’s war on Ukraine means that Inflation will remain high for much longer than would have been the case otherwise. Consequently, the
Aggressive Fed Tightening May Sink Markets
Posted January 20, 2022
The Fed is accelerating its pace of Monetary Policy tightening much more aggressively than financial markets had anticipated. Over the last few months, we have learned that
Great New Interview: Highly Recommended
Posted December 4, 2021
A few days ago I was interviewed by Tom Bodrovics for Palisades Gold Radio. I believe this was one of the best interviews in a
Interview: Economic Crises
Posted October 8, 2021
I recently had a very interesting conversation with Kirk Chisholm for The Money Tree Investing Podcast. This interview provides a history of economic crises in
Liquidity Tsunami Update
Posted August 5, 2021
Bank Reserves topped $4 trillion for the first time last week. That is important because Bank Reserves are one measure of Liquidity in the Financial Markets. And
The Investor’s Podcast Interview: 2021
Posted August 1, 2021
The Implications of Peak Inflation I was recently interviewed by Trey Lockerbie for The Investor’s Podcast. This was an excellent conversation that covers not only the
Lessons From Comparing The Four Largest Central Banks
Posted July 23, 2021
There is a great deal of concern in the United States regarding the large amount of money the Fed is creating through Quantitative Easing, currently $120
Credit, Economic Growth and Inflation To Slow
Posted July 9, 2021
Credit growth in the United States has peaked. Since Credit Growth drives Economic Growth, that means economic growth has also peaked. This strongly suggests that Inflation will
Peak Growth = Peak Inflation?
Posted June 24, 2021
The message from the Fed’s June 16th FOMC meeting was slightly more hawkish than the market had expected. It indicated that the first rate hike may
The Fed Is Preventing Negative Interest Rates Using Reverse Repos
Posted June 11, 2021
Reverse Repurchase Agreements on the Fed’s balance sheet have surged from $0 in mid-March to $535 billion on June 10th. Many people have begun to