Weak Credit Growth May Force The Fed To Cut Rates
Posted April 26, 2024
Total Credit in the United States first exceeded $1 trillion in 1964. This quarter it will blow past $100 trillion. This 100-fold increase in Credit
Tag Archives: Macroeconomics
Who Will Suffer Most When Chinese Growth Ends?
Posted April 15, 2024
China is in the midst of its worst economic crisis in decades. The property market, accounting for roughly a quarter of economic activity in China,
Is China Turning Japanese?
Posted March 28, 2024
The world has become aware that China is experiencing its worst economic crisis in many decades. Many people have begun to wonder if China is
The Investor’s Podcast Interview 2024: Highly Recommended
Posted March 16, 2024
I recently joined Clay Finck on the We Study Billionaires Podcast on The Investor’s Podcast Network. If you only listen to one of my interviews
China: Coming Off The Rails
Posted March 15, 2024
China’s economy is in crisis. That’s not NEW news. It is a story that made headlines during much of the last year. Nor is it surprising.
Large Budget Deficits Won’t Push Up Interest Rates
Posted February 11, 2024
Many people are concerned that the government’s large budget deficits will drain Liquidity and drive up US interest rates. This video explains why they won’t.
Microsoft’s AI Empire
Posted January 15, 2024
Microsoft overtook Apple to become the world’s most valuable company based on market capitalization on Friday, January 12th. Little wonder. Microsoft is the company most well
Recession in 2024?
Posted December 29, 2023
Will the United States fall into Recession in 2024? Trends in Credit Growth suggest it will. It is important to monitor and forecast trends in
Apple: On-Device AI
Posted December 14, 2023
This video explains that Apple will be an AI superpower because it will dominate the market in On-Device AI.
Bears Beware: Rate Cuts Ahead
Posted November 27, 2023
The stock market and the bond market have both rallied sharply this month on the belief that interest rates have peaked and that the Fed
(Mis)Leading Economic Indicators Predicted A Recession That Didn’t Happen… Yet
Posted October 28, 2023
For more than a year, most economists, me included, have expected the United States economy to fall into a Recession. But that hasn’t happened. In fact,
Macro Watch: 10 Years Old Today
Posted October 20, 2023
Since October 20th, 2013, in more than 100 hours of videos, Macro Watch has explained the evolution of our economic system and the new forces
Credit Trends Suggest A Recession Ahead
Posted September 28, 2023
This week, Macro Watch looks at trends in Credit Growth and Wealth Creation; and explains why those trends suggest the US economy will soon fall
An Intense Interview with Richard Duncan by Michael Gayed
Posted September 22, 2023
Last week I did a live Twitter Spaces interview with Michael Gayed who provides great economic and financial markets commentary through his The Lead-Lag Report
Alphabet: The Magnificent Seven, Part Two
Posted September 14, 2023
Mustafa Suleyman, co-founder of the Alphabet subsidiary DeepMind, recently told the Financial Times: “The “exponential trajectory” of AI meant that two years from now, the
Investors Should Beware Money Destruction
Posted August 15, 2023
This week Macro Watch examines the liabilities of five large central banks to explain how central banks create Money to pay for the assets they
Great New Books Network Podcast Interview
Posted August 7, 2023
The New Books Network recently invited me to be a guest on their podcast to discuss my latest book, The Money Revolution. This turned into a
Global Liquidity Is Tightening: Expect Trouble
Posted August 1, 2023
Global Liquidity is tightening. The new Macro Watch video demonstrates this by examining the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve, The European Central Bank, The
Liquidity’s Tightening. Watch Out!
Posted July 12, 2023
One of the main themes of Macro Watch is that Liquidity Determines The Direction Of Asset Prices. This week Macro Watch shows that Liquidity is contracting
Higher For Longer Interest Rates May Rattle Markets
Posted June 29, 2023
This week Macro Watch examines the most recent trends in Credit Growth. It focuses on two important developments revealed in The Financial Accounts Of The