Wealth Bonanza: Risks and Opportunities
Posted June 26, 2024
There has been an extraordinary surge in Wealth in the United States since the end of 2019. Household Wealth soared by $44 trillion or by
Tag Archives: bond yields
Banking Crisis, Recession May Drive Stocks Higher
Posted March 27, 2023
Since the previous Macro Watch video on March 15th, the Systemic Banking Crisis of 2023 has spread and forced an abrupt adjustment to Monetary Policy.
More Pain Ahead: Rates To Rise, Stocks To Fall
Posted June 18, 2022
The Fed hiked the Federal Funds Rate by a larger than expected 75 basis point on Wednesday to a range between 1.5% and 1.75%. Given that
The Fed Has A Big Problem
Posted September 4, 2021
On Friday, the jobs report showed that only 235,000 new jobs were created in the United States during August. That was well below expectations of 728,000 new jobs. Up until
Liquidity Tsunami Update
Posted August 5, 2021
Bank Reserves topped $4 trillion for the first time last week. That is important because Bank Reserves are one measure of Liquidity in the Financial Markets. And
The Investor’s Podcast Interview: 2021
Posted August 1, 2021
The Implications of Peak Inflation I was recently interviewed by Trey Lockerbie for The Investor’s Podcast. This was an excellent conversation that covers not only the
Lessons From Comparing The Four Largest Central Banks
Posted July 23, 2021
There is a great deal of concern in the United States regarding the large amount of money the Fed is creating through Quantitative Easing, currently $120
Credit, Economic Growth and Inflation To Slow
Posted July 9, 2021
Credit growth in the United States has peaked. Since Credit Growth drives Economic Growth, that means economic growth has also peaked. This strongly suggests that Inflation will
Peak Growth = Peak Inflation?
Posted June 24, 2021
The message from the Fed’s June 16th FOMC meeting was slightly more hawkish than the market had expected. It indicated that the first rate hike may
The Fed Is Preventing Negative Interest Rates Using Reverse Repos
Posted June 11, 2021
Reverse Repurchase Agreements on the Fed’s balance sheet have surged from $0 in mid-March to $535 billion on June 10th. Many people have begun to
When The Fed Tapers QE, Will Asset Prices Crash?
Posted May 28, 2021
The Fed is now signaling that it will soon begin to discuss when to Taper Quantitative Easing. This is an important policy development that could
Will Gold Crash Again?
Posted May 15, 2021
There are now reasons for concern that Gold could soon experience another serious correction as it did following its peaks in 1975, 1980 and 2011
Interview: Why Asset Prices Could Keep Surging
Posted April 3, 2021
I was recently interviewed by Keith Weinhold for Get Rich Education. We discussed why the Fed is unlikely to tighten Monetary Policy any time soon
Interview: Liquidity Tsunami vs. Inflation Fears
Posted March 19, 2021
A battle between two powerful opposing forces is now playing out in the financial markets. The stakes riding on the outcome of this fight are
Will Bond Yields Spike and Crush The Markets?
Posted February 28, 2021
A rout in the bond market last week sent government bond yields sharply higher and the price of a broad range of speculative assets painfully
Yield Curve Control Coming Soon
Posted June 27, 2020
The Fed is likely to adopt Yield Curve Control as its primary policy tool to manage the level of interest rates in the United States. The
Interview: The Future Of Monetary Policy
Posted September 19, 2019
I recently discussed the future of Monetary Policy with Hunter Thompson, the host of the Cash Flow Connections podcast. It was an interesting and timely conversation.
The Yield Crash Signals Pain Ahead
Posted June 5, 2019
The collapse in Government Bond Yields during May was a clear signal that investors are afraid the stock market may be headed significantly lower. The