Recession or Depression?
Posted March 15, 2020
The United States economy will almost certainly fall into Recession this year because of the Coronavirus. The outcome, however, could be very much worse than that.
Tag Archives: Monetary Policy
Thoughts On The Coronavirus
Posted March 1, 2020
In the Macro Watch video uploaded today, I share my thoughts on the Coronavirus. How long it is likely to last. How it has impacted
Recommended Interview: How Much Will The Fed Print This Time?
Posted December 24, 2019
I recently had a particularly interesting conversation with Cris Sheridan of Financial Sense Newshour. I highly recommend it. The topic? The most extraordinary Monetary
Household Wealth and Fed Policy
Posted December 19, 2019
Business Investment is weak in the United States despite the recent large corporate tax cuts. Household Consumption, however, is holding up. Relatively strong Consumption has
The Repo Crisis and The Fed: Part 4
Posted November 22, 2019
Quantitative Easing has resumed. On September 17th, overnight interest rates in the Repo Market shot up to 10%, four times higher than they should have
The Repo Crisis and The Fed: Part 2
Posted November 15, 2019
Monetary Policy is the government’s most important economic policy tool. If you really want to understand how the Fed conducts Monetary Policy, you must understand the
The Repo Crisis and The Fed
Posted November 13, 2019
On September 16th, the interest rate in the overnight Repo Market shot up to nearly 10%. It should have been below 2.25%. There was no shortage
Quantitative Easing Round Four
Posted October 12, 2019
A new round of Quantitative Easing began yesterday when the Fed announced that it would create $60 billion a month to buy US government securities.
Expect More Rate Cuts
Posted September 29, 2019
Credit Growth in the United States has been the most important driver of economic growth for decades, so it is important to monitor it closely. If
Interview: The Future Of Monetary Policy
Posted September 19, 2019
I recently discussed the future of Monetary Policy with Hunter Thompson, the host of the Cash Flow Connections podcast. It was an interesting and timely conversation.
Dalio vs. Mauldin: The Great Debate – Part 3
Posted September 6, 2019
Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest and most successful hedge fund. In May, he published a paper called “It’s Time to
Dalio vs. Mauldin: The Great Debate – Part 2
Posted August 22, 2019
A debate that could determine whether our economic future is prosperous or impoverished has taken place between Ray Dalio and John Mauldin, two of the
Financial Sense Interview: Highly Recommended
Posted August 9, 2019
Capitalism didn’t exactly die. It just evolved into a very different kind of economic system: Creditism. I discussed the evolution of Capitalism into Creditism recently with
Ray Dalio vs. John Mauldin: The Great Debate
Posted August 3, 2019
An extraordinarily important debate has taken place between two of the world’s most influential economic thinkers: Ray Dalio, the founder of the legendary hedge fund,
The Fed Is A Hostage Of The S&P 500
Posted June 24, 2019
The S&P 500 closed at a record high last week, while Gold hit a five-year high. Stocks and gold spiked because a very rapid slowdown in
Looser Monetary Policy Will Be Required
Posted April 25, 2019
As recently as 1969, US savings were sufficient to fund all US debt. How things have changed. Last year, the US had only enough savings to finance
Expect Fed Rate Cuts This Year
Posted April 11, 2019
Credit Growth drives Economic Growth. But the United States doesn’t save enough to finance all that it borrows. It hasn’t for a very long time. To finance