FEAR THE FED
Posted March 13, 2022
Inflation is soaring. Now Russia’s war on Ukraine means that Inflation will remain high for much longer than would have been the case otherwise. Consequently, the
Tag Archives: Quantitative Tightening
Aggressive Fed Tightening May Sink Markets
Posted January 20, 2022
The Fed is accelerating its pace of Monetary Policy tightening much more aggressively than financial markets had anticipated. Over the last few months, we have learned that
America’s National Emergency: Part 3
Posted February 18, 2020
China surpassed the United States in R&D investment last year. It will soon become much stronger than the US – technologically, economically and militarily – if
Recommended Interview: How Much Will The Fed Print This Time?
Posted December 24, 2019
I recently had a particularly interesting conversation with Cris Sheridan of Financial Sense Newshour. I highly recommend it. The topic? The most extraordinary Monetary
Household Wealth and Fed Policy
Posted December 19, 2019
Business Investment is weak in the United States despite the recent large corporate tax cuts. Household Consumption, however, is holding up. Relatively strong Consumption has
The Repo Crisis and The Fed: Part 4
Posted November 22, 2019
Quantitative Easing has resumed. On September 17th, overnight interest rates in the Repo Market shot up to 10%, four times higher than they should have
Quantitative Easing Round Four
Posted October 12, 2019
A new round of Quantitative Easing began yesterday when the Fed announced that it would create $60 billion a month to buy US government securities.
What Are Bank Reserves?
Posted May 23, 2019
When the crisis of 2008 began, the Reserves that commercial banks hold in their accounts at the Fed soared from $21 billion in 2007 to
Looser Monetary Policy Will Be Required
Posted April 25, 2019
As recently as 1969, US savings were sufficient to fund all US debt. How things have changed. Last year, the US had only enough savings to finance
Expect Fed Rate Cuts This Year
Posted April 11, 2019
Credit Growth drives Economic Growth. But the United States doesn’t save enough to finance all that it borrows. It hasn’t for a very long time. To finance
Credit Growth, Asset Prices and The Fed
Posted March 28, 2019
Between 1980 and 2008, Credit Growth drove Economic Growth. The ratio of Total Credit to GDP soared from 170% in 1980 to 370% in 2008. Since 2008,