Bears Beware: Rate Cuts Ahead
Posted November 27, 2023
The stock market and the bond market have both rallied sharply this month on the belief that interest rates have peaked and that the Fed
Tag Archives: Inflation
Credit Trends Suggest A Recession Ahead
Posted September 28, 2023
This week, Macro Watch looks at trends in Credit Growth and Wealth Creation; and explains why those trends suggest the US economy will soon fall
An Intense Interview with Richard Duncan by Michael Gayed
Posted September 22, 2023
Last week I did a live Twitter Spaces interview with Michael Gayed who provides great economic and financial markets commentary through his The Lead-Lag Report
Great New Books Network Podcast Interview
Posted August 7, 2023
The New Books Network recently invited me to be a guest on their podcast to discuss my latest book, The Money Revolution. This turned into a
Global Liquidity Is Tightening: Expect Trouble
Posted August 1, 2023
Global Liquidity is tightening. The new Macro Watch video demonstrates this by examining the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve, The European Central Bank, The
Higher For Longer Interest Rates May Rattle Markets
Posted June 29, 2023
This week Macro Watch examines the most recent trends in Credit Growth. It focuses on two important developments revealed in The Financial Accounts Of The
Lending Slowdown Suggests Rate Hike Pause
Posted May 26, 2023
Fed Chairman Powell has said that the recent turmoil in the banking sector is likely to cause bank lending to slow; and that slower bank
Higher Interest Rates Will Destroy Wealth
Posted March 10, 2023
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks before the Senate on March 7th were very hawkish and suggest the Fed will raise the Federal Funds Rate significantly
Interview: The Credit Bubble Popped
Posted February 18, 2023
I was recently interviewed by Addison Wiggin for his podcast The Wiggin Sessions. Addison is a financial writer, publisher, filmmaker and the author or co-author
Inflation Is Down, But The Fed’s Not Finished
Posted February 3, 2023
On February 1st, the Fed hiked the Federal Funds Rate by 25-basis points to a range between 4.5% and 4.75%. During the press conference following
More Wealth Destruction Ahead, Part One
Posted December 2, 2022
The Fed is tightening Monetary Policy much faster and more aggressively now than during the previous tightening cycle that ran from January 2014 to August
TIP Interview: “One Of My Favorites This Year”
Posted November 4, 2022
“This is one of my favorite interviews of the year so far. Richard @PaperMoneyEcon brings the 🔥 fire,” tweeted Trey Lockerbie, regarding our recent conversation for The
New Interview. Highly Recommended. Top Traders Unplugged.
Posted October 22, 2022
Today I would like to share with you a very interesting discussion I had recently with Kevin Coldiron and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for the Top Traders
Creditism In Crisis?
Posted October 16, 2022
Another set of very bad Inflation numbers was released on Thursday. The headline CPI index was up 8.2% from one year ago, little changed from the
2008 vs. 2020 Part Three: Monetary Stimulus
Posted September 21, 2022
The US Monetary Base surged nearly twice as much following the Crisis of 2008 as it did following the economic crisis caused by the Covid
2008 vs. 2020 Part Two: Fiscal Policy
Posted September 7, 2022
The new Macro Watch video, the second in a series, compares the Fiscal Policy Response to the Crisis of 2008 with the Fiscal Policy Response
Interview: The Perfect Storm, Part One
Posted July 23, 2022
I was recently interviewed by Marco Santarelli for the Passive Real Estate Investing Podcast. The main theme running through our conversation is the perfect storm
Lead – Lag Live Interview: Listen Now
Posted July 9, 2022
I recently joined Michael Gayed for a live conversation on his Lead-Lag Live Twitter Spaces. This was my first time speaking with Michael and my first
Gold: If Not Now, When?
Posted June 1, 2022
Inflation has shot up to 8.5%. There is a serious War in Europe. And the Fed has been creating Money hand over fist. And, still, the price of
Interview: Brutal Wealth Destruction
Posted May 27, 2022
Stocks and bonds have experienced a brutal selloff so far this year and the worst may still be ahead, with property prices likely to be