Bears Beware: Rate Cuts Ahead
Posted November 27, 2023
The stock market and the bond market have both rallied sharply this month on the belief that interest rates have peaked and that the Fed
Tag Archives: Stocks
Liquidity’s Tightening. Watch Out!
Posted July 12, 2023
One of the main themes of Macro Watch is that Liquidity Determines The Direction Of Asset Prices. This week Macro Watch shows that Liquidity is contracting
The Uncertain Outlook For Asset Prices
Posted April 27, 2023
Home prices in the US are falling and it is very probable that they will continue to fall. The future direction of stock prices, however,
Systemic Banking Crisis: 2023
Posted March 16, 2023
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank set off a systemic banking sector crisis in the United States late last week. It is not yet certain
Higher Interest Rates Will Destroy Wealth
Posted March 10, 2023
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks before the Senate on March 7th were very hawkish and suggest the Fed will raise the Federal Funds Rate significantly
Video Ready plus BOJ Primer
Posted December 22, 2022
Earlier this week, I uploaded a presentation entitled “More Wealth Destruction Ahead: Part Two”. The video accompanying that presentation is now ready to watch. It explains
Watch Out: Something Is Going To Break!
Posted September 28, 2022
Last week, the Fed shocked investors when it released new projections showing that it now expects to increase interest rates significantly more than it had
Interview: Brutal Wealth Destruction
Posted May 27, 2022
Stocks and bonds have experienced a brutal selloff so far this year and the worst may still be ahead, with property prices likely to be
Risks Are High And Rising
Posted December 20, 2021
The new Macro Watch video discusses the most important recent trends in credit growth and wealth creation based on the third quarter Financial Accounts of
Very Bad Things May Happen Due To The Fed’s Hawkish Pivot
Posted December 6, 2021
In Congressional testimony last week, Fed Chairman Powell made a “Hawkish Pivot” when he suggested that the Fed was likely to accelerate the pace of
Stormy Weather Ahead
Posted October 15, 2021
Credit growth is slowing rapidly in the United States. That is alarming because in the Twenty-first Century, Credit Growth Drives Economy Growth. Total Credit Growth (adjusted
Interview: Economic Crises
Posted October 8, 2021
I recently had a very interesting conversation with Kirk Chisholm for The Money Tree Investing Podcast. This interview provides a history of economic crises in
The Liquidity Tsunami Is About To End Abruptly
Posted September 25, 2021
On March 6th this year, Macro Watch published a video called “Liquidity Tsunami May Drive Asset Prices Much Higher”. It argued that during the months ahead
Slowing Inflation Won’t Stop Fed Tapering
Posted September 18, 2021
Inflation in the United States slowed sharply during August. The Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI) rose 0.1% month-on-month in August. That was down from 0.9%
Peak Growth = Peak Inflation?
Posted June 24, 2021
The message from the Fed’s June 16th FOMC meeting was slightly more hawkish than the market had expected. It indicated that the first rate hike may
Will Gold Crash Again?
Posted May 15, 2021
There are now reasons for concern that Gold could soon experience another serious correction as it did following its peaks in 1975, 1980 and 2011
Interview on Rich Dad Radio
Posted May 7, 2021
I recently had a great conversation with my friends Robert and Kim Kiyosaki for Rich Dad Radio. So far, this interview has been viewed nearly 250,000
Interview: Are We Heading Towards Massive Inflation?
Posted April 16, 2021
I was recently interviewed for the first time by Marco Santarelli for the Passive Real Estate Investing podcast. Our discussion focused on the outlook for Inflation.
Debt, Credit and Wealth Soared In 2020
Posted April 10, 2021
Total Credit in the United States soared by an astonishing $8 trillion last year to $83.5 Trillion, well above the previous peak increase of $5
Surging Money Supply Growth Won’t Cause Inflation
Posted March 26, 2021
Will asset prices soon be crushed by Inflation and higher Interest Rates? This is perhaps the most important question investors must grapple with today. The financial