Posted November 15, 2021
During 2015, China’s economy experienced a serious downturn that caused a global recession. Credit growth in China had been running out of control, Investment far exceeded Consumption
Posted November 6, 2021
China’s economy is facing grave challenges. Given the rising tensions with the West, the outlook for continued export-led growth appears dim. At home, China’s giant property bubble
Posted November 2, 2021
Newspaper headlines give the impression that Inflation in the United States is very high and running totally out of control. But those headlines are misleading.
Posted October 30, 2021
I recently had a very good conversation with Buck Joffrey for the Wealth Formula Podcast. I highly recommend you listen to it. Topics include: The
Posted October 15, 2021
Credit growth is slowing rapidly in the United States. That is alarming because in the Twenty-first Century, Credit Growth Drives Economy Growth. Total Credit Growth (adjusted
Posted October 8, 2021
I recently had a very interesting conversation with Kirk Chisholm for The Money Tree Investing Podcast. This interview provides a history of economic crises in
Posted September 25, 2021
On March 6th this year, Macro Watch published a video called “Liquidity Tsunami May Drive Asset Prices Much Higher”. It argued that during the months ahead
Posted September 18, 2021
Inflation in the United States slowed sharply during August. The Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI) rose 0.1% month-on-month in August. That was down from 0.9%
Posted September 4, 2021
On Friday, the jobs report showed that only 235,000 new jobs were created in the United States during August. That was well below expectations of 728,000 new jobs. Up until
Posted August 27, 2021
Cris Sheridan recently interviewed me for the Financial Sense Newshour. It was another good conversation. I hope you will listen to it now. We discussed: Fed tapering
Posted August 20, 2021
The Fed is enormously profitable. In fact, if it were a corporation, the Fed would have been the most profitable corporation in the world last year. Luckily
Posted August 5, 2021
Bank Reserves topped $4 trillion for the first time last week. That is important because Bank Reserves are one measure of Liquidity in the Financial Markets. And
Posted August 1, 2021
The Implications of Peak Inflation I was recently interviewed by Trey Lockerbie for The Investor’s Podcast. This was an excellent conversation that covers not only the
Posted July 23, 2021
There is a great deal of concern in the United States regarding the large amount of money the Fed is creating through Quantitative Easing, currently $120
Posted July 9, 2021
Credit growth in the United States has peaked. Since Credit Growth drives Economic Growth, that means economic growth has also peaked. This strongly suggests that Inflation will
Posted June 24, 2021
The message from the Fed’s June 16th FOMC meeting was slightly more hawkish than the market had expected. It indicated that the first rate hike may
Posted June 11, 2021
Reverse Repurchase Agreements on the Fed’s balance sheet have surged from $0 in mid-March to $535 billion on June 10th. Many people have begun to
Posted May 28, 2021
The Fed is now signaling that it will soon begin to discuss when to Taper Quantitative Easing. This is an important policy development that could
Posted May 15, 2021
There are now reasons for concern that Gold could soon experience another serious correction as it did following its peaks in 1975, 1980 and 2011
Posted May 13, 2021
I was recently interviewed by Andy Tanner for the Cashflow Academy podcast. Whenever I speak with Andy, I always end up feeling smarter and happier. It’s