Still Standing
Posted January 10, 2022
When the Covid pandemic began to crush the US economy in March 2020, Macro Watch published a series of videos on the subject, including one
Category Archives: Economics in the Age of Fiat Money
Risks Are High And Rising
Posted December 20, 2021
The new Macro Watch video discusses the most important recent trends in credit growth and wealth creation based on the third quarter Financial Accounts of
Very Bad Things May Happen Due To The Fed’s Hawkish Pivot
Posted December 6, 2021
In Congressional testimony last week, Fed Chairman Powell made a “Hawkish Pivot” when he suggested that the Fed was likely to accelerate the pace of
Great New Interview: Highly Recommended
Posted December 4, 2021
A few days ago I was interviewed by Tom Bodrovics for Palisades Gold Radio. I believe this was one of the best interviews in a
Creditism In China
Posted November 29, 2021
The latest Macro Watch video is the second in a series focusing on the potential consequences of the crisis now unfolding in China’s all-important property
Lessons From China’s Last Economic Crisis
Posted November 15, 2021
During 2015, China’s economy experienced a serious downturn that caused a global recession. Credit growth in China had been running out of control, Investment far exceeded Consumption
How Threatened Is China’s Economy?
Posted November 6, 2021
China’s economy is facing grave challenges. Given the rising tensions with the West, the outlook for continued export-led growth appears dim. At home, China’s giant property bubble
Inflation Slowed Sharply in Q3
Posted November 2, 2021
Newspaper headlines give the impression that Inflation in the United States is very high and running totally out of control. But those headlines are misleading.
Interview: Inflation, Liquidity, China Evergrande
Posted October 30, 2021
I recently had a very good conversation with Buck Joffrey for the Wealth Formula Podcast. I highly recommend you listen to it. Topics include: The
Stormy Weather Ahead
Posted October 15, 2021
Credit growth is slowing rapidly in the United States. That is alarming because in the Twenty-first Century, Credit Growth Drives Economy Growth. Total Credit Growth (adjusted
Interview: Economic Crises
Posted October 8, 2021
I recently had a very interesting conversation with Kirk Chisholm for The Money Tree Investing Podcast. This interview provides a history of economic crises in
The Liquidity Tsunami Is About To End Abruptly
Posted September 25, 2021
On March 6th this year, Macro Watch published a video called “Liquidity Tsunami May Drive Asset Prices Much Higher”. It argued that during the months ahead
Slowing Inflation Won’t Stop Fed Tapering
Posted September 18, 2021
Inflation in the United States slowed sharply during August. The Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI) rose 0.1% month-on-month in August. That was down from 0.9%
The Fed Has A Big Problem
Posted September 4, 2021
On Friday, the jobs report showed that only 235,000 new jobs were created in the United States during August. That was well below expectations of 728,000 new jobs. Up until
Interview: Inflation or Deflation?
Posted August 27, 2021
Cris Sheridan recently interviewed me for the Financial Sense Newshour. It was another good conversation. I hope you will listen to it now. We discussed: Fed tapering
The Fed Is More Profitable Than Apple
Posted August 20, 2021
The Fed is enormously profitable. In fact, if it were a corporation, the Fed would have been the most profitable corporation in the world last year. Luckily
Liquidity Tsunami Update
Posted August 5, 2021
Bank Reserves topped $4 trillion for the first time last week. That is important because Bank Reserves are one measure of Liquidity in the Financial Markets. And
The Investor’s Podcast Interview: 2021
Posted August 1, 2021
The Implications of Peak Inflation I was recently interviewed by Trey Lockerbie for The Investor’s Podcast. This was an excellent conversation that covers not only the
Lessons From Comparing The Four Largest Central Banks
Posted July 23, 2021
There is a great deal of concern in the United States regarding the large amount of money the Fed is creating through Quantitative Easing, currently $120
Credit, Economic Growth and Inflation To Slow
Posted July 9, 2021
Credit growth in the United States has peaked. Since Credit Growth drives Economic Growth, that means economic growth has also peaked. This strongly suggests that Inflation will